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Who will do the jobs that don’t yet exist?

Peter Radford • Mar 10, 2017

Who will do the jobs that don’t yet exist?

So at least 45% of the jobs that our current students will do in the future don’t yet exist. One estimate puts the figure at 65%! The question is raised then as to what extent the education we are providing will prepare them for these non-existent jobs in the brave new world? A world which is not in the future but already here – since according to the World Economic Forum, “in many industries and countries, the most in-demand occupations or specialties did not exist 10 or even five years ago, and the pace of change is set to accelerate.” This cuts straight to the core question of What is it that makes people successful?

I’ve been interested in this question ever since I toyed with taking a job in an Independent School and since reading Matthew Syed’s book Bounce. Syed makes the convincing argument that ‘talent is a myth’; that people are not born great or born geniuses; that in fact, the evidence suggests that the so called ‘natural ability’ credited to many ‘great’ achievers can be attributed to purposeful practice (the 10,000 hour rule).

At the time that I read Bounce, my daughter was about 8 years old and had developed an interest in swimming. Before having children I was keen to invest in them in a way that I didn’t feel I had been as a child. I hadn’t had private coaching or been encouraged to develop in activities outside of those laid on at school. Partly finances prevented it. Though I did have piano lessons with my Granny (who had failed to pass Grade 1 herself – all credit to my brother Tim who on the back of the same musical education as me now plays the piano proficiently). I was insufficiently inspired and was permitted to give it up when I requested to do so.

I showed more promise in long distance running (I was Leicestershire county cross-country champion at 11 years old) but the local running club met on a Sunday which clashed with Church which was therefore a non-starter for my parents. I decided that I wanted my children to have the chance to excel in something since I felt I had always been an average all-rounder. So my wife and I decided to invest in one sport and one musical instrument with each of them.

We were carting my daughter to swimming club twice a week which was all we could reasonably manage since there was no pool especially ‘handy’. We gradually realised that she would not excel in an activity that she could only practice twice a week. Especially when she was competing against kids who were swimming 6 times a week or more. (I was not about to take her swimming at 5am every morning! Serious respect to those parents who are!) So we invested in a netball post for the garden instead. She loved netball and this was something she could practice daily. She is now Captain of her school team and a County player.

I had noticed private schools are set up to enable regular practice. The opportunity for regular/ daily practice in a variety of disciplines is right there on site. Swimming pools, golf courses, sport – written into the curriculum three afternoons per week, theatres, prep time, orchestra, jazz band, music tour, arts, dramatics, public speaking clubs and competitions, debating societies. All of these co-curricular or extra curricular opportunities provide students with the opportunity to practice and hone skills beyond the academic. Private schools seem to me to have grasped the fact that success is about so much more than academic achievement.

I am convinced that the teaching in private schools is in no way superior to the teaching in state schools. So why do between 50-90% of high earning jobs (depending on which job sector you look at) still go to privately educated people when only a mere 7% of the population are privately educated?

When I visited a private school, I was always taken aback by the confidence with which privately educated students talked to me: they made conversation, looked me in the eye, asked questions about me, knew how to put me at ease as a visitor, and how to navigate social situations with skill. These skills will be at least as significant to their future success as their academic achievement. Probably more so. They were not born with these skills they were learned and nurtured through a mixture of home and school. Of course, these students are ‘advantaged’ financially but there is no reason why any school in the country can’t invest in developing these skills and providing opportunity for their daily purposeful practice. Sir Peter Lampl, chair of the Sutton Trust, says, “As well as academic achievement, an independent education tends to develop essential skills such as confidence, articulacy and teamwork, which are vital to career success.”

My point is not about private education but about education needing to take seriously the development of young people’s EQ as well as their IQ; their emotional intelligence as well as their academic development. Daniel Goleman (Emotional Intelligence) states that the percentage of career success that can be traced back to IQ is between 4 and 10%! That’s all! IQ may open up certain career paths but progression within any career is largely down, he says, to imagination, joyfulness and social dexterity along with effort and practice.

Daniel Pink’s book A Whole New Mind is fascinating in exploring the evolving significance of Right brained thinking vs the rescinding significance of Left-brained thinking for the emerging job market in Economically Developed Countries. The Right brain is responsible for our creativity, emotion, empathy and artistry. The Left brain is responsible for our analysis, information processing and logic. In recent years Pink suggests we have entered a third industrial age. The first Industrial Age was built on manual labour – now replaced by automation and technology, the Information Age was built on knowledge and information (Left brain thinking)– but this is fast being outsourced either to computers or to a cheaper overseas workforce. In the new ‘Conceptual Age’ then, it is creation, design and empathy that matters – Right brain thinking.

But our schools and universities are still churning out graduates proficient in the Left brain skills of the Information Age. Our schools need to prepare young people for the new age by re-thinking the type of education we are providing and investing in developing the Right brained skills that will make the difference between success and failure for so many.

“In a world tossed by abundance, Asia and automation, in which L [Left brain] directed thinking remains necessary but no longer efficient we must become proficient in R [right brain] directed thinking and master aptitudes that are high concept and high touch. We must perform work that overseas knowledge workers can’t do cheaper, that computers can’t do faster and that satisfies the aesthetic, spiritual and emotional demands of a prosperous time.” (Daniel Pink).

More on this next time…
By Peter Radford 11 May, 2022
It’s still a man’s world! Unfortunately, in spite of making huge strides in women’s rights over the past century, this holds true in many ways. Some of the discrimination is less overt but the underlying systems remain biased in favour of men. These biases have developed for a number of reasons. Here’s the first. I will address others in subsequent blogs. There are two basic views of gender – the Essentialist View and the Existentialist View. The Essentialist View is the traditional view that men ‘naturally’ suited to some roles and women to others. The argument goes that because women are biologically able to bear children they are naturally more suited to caring professions and roles which require emotional sensitivity. By contrast men are said to be more ‘naturally’ suited to more competitive workplaces and roles which require rational, critical thinking. These stereotypes persist overwhelmingly. And are evidenced by the huge disproportion of men and women in, say, early years child care and nursing as compared to science and engineering. The Existentialist View is that these differences between males and females are the product of nurture not nature; that from the moment we are born we are ‘socialised’ to play with certain toys, to like certain things, to behave in certain ways. The resultant stereotypes are therefore manufactured not inherent, generated by culture and context rather than biology. For example – a study by the BBC showed that adults are more likely to introduce toys which develop spatial awareness and motor skills to baby boys than to girls. Scientists tell us that when children play spatial awareness games regularly their brains change physically in just three months! In other words, we are all to a huge extent, products of the stereotypes and biases of society and as a result we, often unconsciously though sometimes deliberately, perpetuate those same biases. In my view we need to stop with our fixation with dividing people by either biological sex or gender identity. These categories may have some use for a small number of contexts (for example it makes sense in medicine to take account of the biological differences between males and females). However, for the vast majority of contexts it is a fairly useless way to divide people. It is ludicrous to split 7.7 billion people into just two categories and say – ‘you are all like this’ and ‘you are all like that’! The same goes for the other blunt tools we use to categorise: ethnicity, religion, age, disability etc. I’m arguing that to truly challenge the sexism and all kinds of discrimination in society we need to recognise and affirm the beautiful diversity and uniqueness of every single person. To build schools, businesses and organisations that are people centred and which value difference. The best tool I have discovered to assist with this is The GC Index . This assessment tool helps to affirm the differences between individuals and enable leaders to identify and develop the unique energy and potential that each person brings to the table. Whilst you could say, ‘Aren’t we just replacing one set of categories with another?’ with 100,000 different possible variations, it’s not perfect but it’s a vast improvement on two! That’s why I think the move in recent years to acknowledge the complexity of gender is a hugely positive thing. Biology is one thing, identity is another. But… until we start discussing and understanding the impact of socialisation and the difference between biological sex and gender identity we won’t see real change. And, unfortunately, the nature of the debate on this issue in the media has made many feel afraid to even talk about it for fear of being labelled either ‘woke’ on the one hand or transphobic / misogynistic on the other. Becoming comfortable with difference necessarily means being willing to hear different viewpoints, even the ones which make you feel uncomfortable. So how about starting with the debate above… essentialist vs existentialist: are men better at some things and women better at others? Be open to hearing different views, but prepared to give a reasoned defence of your own. Difference is good. Bring it on! 1. For BBC study watch: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nWu44AqF0iI 2. For more info on the GC Index go to https://www.peterradfordspeaker.com/the-gc-index
By Peter Radford 27 Jan, 2022
The past couple of years have exposed in alarming ways just how much racism still pervades society and remains inherent in the national consciousness, institutions and systems. Racial inequality is undeniable. To quote just a few examples from the UK: Unemployment levels are twice as high amongst black men than white men.[i] Applicants with white-sounding names are called to interview far more often than applicants with Asian or African sounding names.[ii] Black women are still four times more likely than white women to die in pregnancy or childbirth in the UK, and women from Asian ethnic backgrounds face twice the risk. [iii] The examples are myriad. In Dorset, where I live and which is less racially diverse than many other parts of the country, entrenched prejudices persist often because they go unnoticed; as a white man, I am somewhat blind to my own biases and privilege. When confronted with difference, however, these prejudices can quickly come to the fore. It is striking that in the months following the Brexit vote incidents of hate crime across England and Wales increased by up to 100% with Dorset seeing the greatest increase![iv] As businesses and schools we have a responsibility to root out discriminatory practices and ensure that we comply with employment law and the Equality Act 2010. However, complying with the letter of the law doesn’t go anywhere near far enough in ensuring that all staff, clients and students feel valued and safe and that access to opportunity is equitable. It’s very easy to think, ‘we don’t have a problem with racism here’. Probably what you mean by that is there have been very few reported or explicit incidents of racism in your work place. But racism is not simply the easy-to-spot occurrences of aggressive discrimination or the use of racial slurs or terms, it is far more covert and often unconscious than that. The truth is, when dozens of people who all share the same biases join together and form a business or organisation then their shared biases become part of the workplace culture, unwittingly baked into the structure of how things work. This is what is meant by structural, institutional or systemic racism. There may not be conscious or malicious intent, but the norms which advantage some and disadvantage others persist unless we deliberately examine those systems, listen to other perspectives and seek to be proactively anti-racist. This is what the Black Lives Matter movement is trying to do: proactively redress the balance in society. So how can we address inequalities, promote fairness and celebrate difference? Below I suggest three starting points to begin to transform our businesses and schools into beacons of hope for a fairer world. 1. Valuing Difference – Ensure representation at every level of your school or company A study at Columbia Business School gave teams the task of solving a murder mystery. In half the cases the groups were composed of four friends. The other half were composed of three friends and a stranger. The result? The teams with a stranger consistently and significantly outperformed the teams without one. They also found the task more cognitively demanding as they were forced to engage with different perspectives and think carefully in order to justify their own perspectives. They were enabled to see their own blindspots which in turn helped them collectively to find more effective solutions.[v] Difference is good for us. Valuing rather than fearing difference is the beginning of change. Making sure that difference is represented at every level of your business is essential if you are going to grow. 2. Engaging with difference – Listen to the lived experience of people of colour in your workplace. In any system which is inherently biased, minorities are likely to feel anxious about speaking up when they experience discrimination or micro-aggressions[vi]. In order to survive, people have often learned to just ‘put up with’ some of the injustices they experience. (The same is true of women in a male-dominated context). Finding out how black, Asian or minority ethnic people feel on a daily basis in your workplace or context is essential to effect real, lasting change. But meaningful listening and learning is not a one-time thing and can only take place in a safe, or possibly anonymous, context in which people feel confident that their perspectives cannot and will not be used against them. Before such honest reflection can take place you may well need to invest in some training. 3. Challenging Indifference – Re-think your vision and values Inertia is the greatest barrier to change. Change requires clarity of purpose and a coherent message that galvanises action and generates momentum. Two questions: a) How much focus and attention do you give to the ethos and values of your business/school? And b) Are those values in need of an update? In other words, do they firmly and unequivocally affirm the value of every human person and do they translate into the everyday, living reality of your workplace? Change takes time, openness and the willingness to have meaningful dialogue about these issues. We need to move beyond polarised soundbites on social media and commit to create positive working environments for all. [i] Dynamics of Diversity:Evidence from the 2011 Census, Esrc Centre on Dynamics of Ethnicity, University of Manchester and Joseph Rowntree Foundation, September 2013 [ii] ‘A Test for Racial Discrimination in Recruitment Practice in British Cities’, National Centre for Social Research 2009 [iii] https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2021/jan/15/black-women-in-the-uk-four-times-more-likely-to-die-in-pregnancy-or-childbirth [iv] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/brexit-vote-hate-crime-rise-100-cent-england-wales-police-figures-new-racism-eu-a7580516.html [v] M. Syed, Rebel Ideas: The Power of Diverse Thinking (London: John Murray, 2019), p. 36-37 [vi] Micro aggressions are a form of unintended discrimination, e.g. statements like ‘You’re very well-spoken’ or ‘You don’t act black’. Such ‘complements’ communicate hidden assumptions about people of colour. Typography photo created by rawpixel.com – www.freepik.com
By Peter Radford 02 Dec, 2021
The examples of sexism, misogyny and sexual harassment have been flowing thick and fast over the past year. From the recognition that this is a major issue in our schools to the murder of Sarah Everard, it is somewhat frightening to see just how entrenched sexist attitudes are across all levels of society. We thought we’d come a long way! And in some ways we have. But that is small consolation to the millions of women who find themselves mistreated, devalued and abused on a daily basis. The tendency of most is to assert defensively, ‘I’m not sexist’. But the truth is you probably are. For sexism is so deeply embedded in our thinking and modes of operating that for the most part we don’t even notice. Whenever a group of people who share the same bias form a business or team then that bias becomes ‘baked into’ the norms of the culture. This isn’t necessarily with malicious intent, it is just a fact. The truth is that unhelpful and often damaging, gender stereotypes begin from the moment we exit the womb. The mantlepieces of our parents were adorned with cards that communicated the expected preferences and behaviours associated with our biological sex. For example, boys are supposed to like football, robots, trucks, pirates and blue. Girls are supposed to like cupcakes, fairies, ponies, princesses and pink! Very quickly children learn what they are supposed to like. In fact, studies show that in just three weeks a child’s preferences can be altered by the rituals, norms and role models to which they are exposed. (i) Soon after we are born we are introduced to stories. A study of children’s books showed that males are twice as likely to appear in title roles as females and appear in 50% more pictures. In TV, boys and men appear in 75% more speaking roles than girls and women. In those same stories the words ‘beautiful’ and ‘weak’ are more commonly ascribed to women and the words ‘brave’ and ‘great’ more commonly ascribed to men. Without realising it children learn early on that ‘beauty is an essential part of being female’. (ii) Such early experiences of conditioning feed the stereotypes that then perpetuate the myth. ‘My daughter just prefers playing with dolls’ is asserted to be ‘natural’ when her introduction to expected norms was far from gender neutral from the start. Take too the tendency for parents to spend more attention each day to brushing and styling a girl’s hair or the outfit she wears than to boys’ appearance. Very early girls in our culture grow up with two distinct identities: their body and their mind; they are subtly absorbed into a society which values women more for their physical looks and men more for their intellect. So effectively internalised is this stereotype that when women are asked simply to record their sex on a quantitative test ( thereby reminded unconsciously of the stereotypical expectations) they consistently perform worse than when they are not reminded of their sex! (iii) Being pretty is more important than being smart if you are a woman in our culture. This is the prevailing message. And the examples of this are multitudinous. Undoubtedly then, any business or group that was started and/or led mostly by men will be inherently biased towards men. And it will take proactive training and evaluation to identify how this manifests itself and how to redress the balance. But what if your business is mostly or all-female? I would argue that the same applies. For two reasons: 1. Because every female that has grown up in this sexually biased culture of ours has unconsciously absorbed its norms, but also 2. Any female-led business is operating within a world that is still heavily biased toward men: for example whenever a woman does a google search, the results presented are driven by an algorithm… that was, in most cases, programmed by a man! Resolving to take this issue seriously and seek to proactively address it is a challenge for every business and organisation. If we don’t then I fear that the prevalence of sexual harassment and misogyny will only continue. Change starts here. Go to https://www.peterradfordspeaker.com/equality to enquire about training on this issue. i. Caroline Criado- Perez, Do it Like a Woman, Portobello Bookls, London 2015, P149 ii. Ibid, P150-151 iii. John Bargh, Before You Know It, Penguin, London 2017, p87 Image by: People photo created by rawpixel.com - www.freepik.com
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